Kenya Arbitrage Betting Weekly Report: October 31 November 6, 2026

Kenya Arbitrage Betting Weekly Report (October 31–November 6, 2026)

WorkBet recorded 134,547 arbitrage opportunities across its monitored dataset during October 31–November 6, 2026, with an average calculated profit of 2.39%. The figures describe the overall monitored market, while the Kenya-focused section separately tracks bookmakers relevant to Kenyan readers.

Football Remains the Main Source of Opportunities

Football accounted for 100,386 opportunities (74.6%), followed by basketball with 16,557 (12.3%), hockey with 11,785 (8.8%), tennis with 4,721 (3.5%), and volleyball with 817 (0.6%). Basketball and hockey together represented 21.1% of the reported sports distribution, showing that relevant opportunities extend beyond football.

Profit Distribution and Opportunity Lifetime

The largest profit bands were below 1% (61,166 opportunities; 45.46%) and 1–5% (59,043; 43.88%). Combined, they represented 89.34% of the recorded opportunities. The 5–10% band accounted for 7.03%, 10–20% for 2.87%, and above 20% for 0.76%. These are theoretical margins observed by the monitoring system, not realized returns.

In terms of lifespan, 58,474 opportunities (43.46%) lasted 3–10 minutes, while 36,185 (26.89%) remained visible for more than 31 minutes. Another 22,221 (16.52%) lasted 10–20 minutes. Only 5.33% lasted less than three minutes; 99 opportunities (0.07%) were unfinished at the time of reporting.

Bookmaker Activity and the Kenya Segment

Across the full monitored dataset, BetCity ranked first with 45,608 bookmaker appearances (16.9%), ahead of Olimpbet with 27,727 (10.3%), 1xBet with 27,387 (10.2%), Zenit with 25,699 (9.6%), and Leon with 23,138 (8.6%). Bookmaker appearances are not the same as unique surebet opportunities.

Among Kenya-relevant bookmakers, 1xBet led with 27,387 appearances, followed by Odibets (11,293), SportPesa (6,665), MozzartBet (1,352), and Betika (259). The source reports their shares as percentages of the wider bookmaker-appearance dataset rather than as shares of Kenya-only betting activity.

Notable High-Profit Bookmaker Pairs

Applying the filter of at least 3% calculated profit and at least three minutes of lifetime, Bovada–Zenit ranked first with 6,622 opportunities, 13.60% average profit and 23.2 minutes average lifetime. BetCity–Bovada followed with 6,547 opportunities and 13.56% average profit; Bovada–Olimpbet ranked third with 6,279 and 13.36%.

Weekly Takeaways

The longest recorded opportunity lasted 167 hours and five minutes. WorkBet also reports a model-based earnings estimate of $3,872 for its stated $200-turnover, eight-hour scenario; this is not a verified or guaranteed outcome. The week was defined by football’s large share, a predominantly low-margin opportunity mix, and substantial Bovada-linked activity among filtered bookmaker pairs. Without a directly comparable previous-week dataset, no week-over-week growth claim is made.

Source: WorkBet Arbitrage Statistics, October 31–November 6, 2026.

Calculated profit does not guarantee realized returns.