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Japan’s ruling bloc secures Lower House supermajority, reinforcing runway for casino-integrated resort policy

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s LDP surged to a record result in the Feb. 8 vote, giving the government stronger legislative control as Japan moves toward a 2027 reopening of IR applications and the Osaka project advances toward a 2030 launch.

Japan’s snap Lower House election on February 8, 2026 delivered a decisive win for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Public broadcaster NHK’s preliminary tally, cited by AP, put the LDP at 316 seats in the 465-seat House of Representatives, while the ruling coalition reached 352 seats with its new ally, the Japan Innovation Party—comfortably clearing the two-thirds “supermajority” threshold.

For Japan’s gaming and tourism stakeholders, the significance is not just political stability but policy capacity. A larger Lower House margin makes it easier for the administration to push economic and regulatory priorities while navigating an Upper House where it lacks a majority.

On the casino side, Japan’s Integrated Resort (IR) framework still has two licences left under the legal cap of three, with Osaka (Yumeshima) currently the only approved IR host. Osaka’s plan—backed by MGM Resorts International and ORIX—was approved by the national government in April 2023 and is targeting an opening around 2030.

Crucially, the Japan Tourism Agency has already moved to formalize the next step: an official public comment process (dated December 17, 2025) proposes reopening IR applications from May 6 to November 5, 2027, confirming that the pipeline beyond Osaka is being reactivated.

With the election result now clarifying the government’s mandate, the industry’s near-term focus shifts to execution—Osaka construction milestones and how clearly Tokyo defines the 2027 application rules, oversight expectations, and responsible-gaming requirements for any new IR candidates.

Published February 10, 2026 by Brian Oiriga
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